【大紀元4月29日訊】(大紀元記者畢儒宗報導)麻州劍橋市的房地產研究公司Fiserv CSW 專門研究美國大都會地區房地產價格的波動，在該公司追蹤的十大都會區中，洛杉磯及紐約地區過去五年(1998 ~ 2003)的房價漲幅最大。
洛杉磯房價平均上漲了90%是漲幅最大的都會區，其中長灘市(Long Beach)郵遞區號 90802 房價上漲了154.6%是該都會區漲幅最大的。在紐約地區，房價平均上漲了80.7%，漲幅全美第二，紐澤西的Beach Haven市﹐郵遞區號 08008 房價上漲了136.7% 是該都會區漲幅最大的。加州奧克蘭市(Oakland)的郵遞區號 94621 地區的房價漲幅冠全美，達 159.8%。
CSW 公司的研究人員採用了不同於一般的分析方法。他們追蹤相同的房產五年來交易的情況，用來估算增值的幅度，不同於一般的用一個地區所有房價平均值的變化來估算漲幅的方式。研究人員同時加上其他的資料如﹕就業情況﹑利率及房地產漲幅來估計未來的表現。除了完全相信電腦模式的估算，研究人員還是會進行人為的修正。
CSW 公司預期波士頓地區的房價在2004年將會上漲約 6.4%，但洛杉磯(13.2%)﹑邁阿密(9.8%)及華盛頓DC地區(10.5%)的屋主則可預期兩位數字的漲幅。
歸因於美國人喜愛購買度假房產，CSW公司預測度假地區的郵遞區號將是未來房地產表現最佳的地方。
| 大都會區 | 房價 中間值 |
過去五年 房價增長率1 |
預期今年 房價增長率2 |
| Boston-Worcester-Lawrence | 301,000 | 79.2% | 6.4% |
| Lawrence MA01841 | 209,000 | 134.0% | 10.9% |
| Boston MA02124 | 329,000 | 129.7% | 7.6% |
| New Bedford MA02744 | 192,000 | 122.2% | 11.9% |
| Lynn MA01905 | 239,000 | 121.7% | NA |
| Brockton MA02301 | 245,000 | 119.5% | 7.5% |
| Wareham MA02571 | 229,000 | 117.9% | 8.3% |
| Somerville MA02145 | 350,000 | 117.3% | 10.5% |
| Mattapan MA02126 | 285,000 | 117.0% | 7.7% |
| Marion MA02738 | 310,000 | 116.9% | 7.6% |
| Mattapoisett MA02739 | 350,000 | 114.6% | 9.5% |
| Chicago-Gary-Kenosha | 240,000 | 48.7% | 8.2% |
| Oak Park IL60302 | 425,000 | 91.0% | 12.2% |
| Chicago IL60639 | 235,000 | 89.8% | 12.3% |
| Chicago IL60618 | 362,000 | 85.5% | 10.6% |
| Chicago IL60640 | 405,000 | 84.0% | 12.6% |
| Chicago IL60625 | 380,000 | 83.7% | 10.9% |
| Chicago IL60641 | 271,000 | 83.6% | 11.3% |
| Chicago IL60659 | 345,000 | 81.0% | 12.9% |
| Chicago IL60634 | 264,000 | 80.4% | 10.5% |
| Chicago IL60630 | 285,000 | 80.2% | 12.2% |
| Chicago IL60647 | 325,000 | 79.9% | 10.0% |
| Detroit-Ann Arbor-Flint | 153,000 | 31.3% | 3.9% |
| Detroit MI48219 | 80,000 | 47.9% | NA |
| Inkster MI48141 | 85,000 | 46.9% | 1.9% |
| Detroit MI48235 | 98,000 | 46.8% | 2.0% |
| Detroit MI48227 | 72,000 | 46.8% | 1.8% |
| Oak Park MI48237 | 135,000 | 46.7% | 3.4% |
| Detroit MI48223 | 58,000 | 45.9% | 1.1% |
| Southfield MI48075 | 169,000 | 45.5% | 2.9% |
| Romulus MI48174 | 130,000 | 44.2% | 1.7% |
| Ferndale MI48220 | 129,000 | 43.7% | 2.8% |
| Ann Arbor MI48103 | 277,500 | 43.2% | 2.0% |
| Los Angeles-Riverside-Orange County | 337,000 | 90.0% | 13.2% |
| Long Beach CA90802 | 402,000 | 154.6% | 18.7% |
| Glendale CA91203 | 399,000 | 143.3% | 15.3% |
| Los Angeles CA90040 | 215,000 | 137.9% | 16.2% |
| Santa Ana CA92701 | 332,000 | 132.8% | 15.9% |
| Glendale CA91204 | 440,000 | 132.8% | 16.2% |
| Gardena CA90248 | 346,000 | 131.8% | 11.7% |
| Santa Ana CA92703 | 335,000 | 128.9% | 16.5% |
| Los Angeles CA90065 | 357,000 | 128.6% | 17.9% |
| Los Angeles CA90019 | 506,500 | 128.6% | 11.3% |
| Long Beach CA90813 | 310,000 | 128.1% | 19.4% |
| Miami-Fort Lauderdale | 205,000 | 72.4% | 9.8% |
| Miami FL33137 | 259,000 | 117.3% | 16.7% |
| Miami FL33138 | 275,000 | 110.7% | 14.0% |
| Deerfield Beach FL33441 | 210,000 | 98.1% | 10.3% |
| Miami FL33129 | 365,000 | 98.0% | 12.6% |
| Fort Lauderdale FL33311 | 122,000 | 94.7% | 14.0% |
| Fort Lauderdale FL33314 | 147,000 | 92.6% | 15.5% |
| Hollywood FL33020 | 169,000 | 92.6% | NA |
| Pompano Beach FL33064 | 142,000 | 90.2% | 12.4% |
| Hollywood FL33021 | 220,000 | 89.0% | 16.0% |
| Miami FL33150 | 115,000 | 88.5% | 17.4% |
| New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island | 321,000 | 80.7% | 8.6% |
| Beach Haven NJ08008 | 604,500 | 136.7% | 13.9% |
| Lavallette NJ08735 | 491,000 | 129.2% | 13.6% |
| Brielle NJ08730 | 373,500 | 124.6% | 13.6% |
| Bellport NY11713 | 192,500 | 124.0% | 11.9% |
| Center Moriches NY11934 | 335,000 | 122.3% | 13.3% |
| Brookhaven NY11719 | 307,000 | 118.8% | 12.2% |
| Mastic Beach NY11951 | 185,000 | 118.4% | 13.5% |
| Mastic NY11950 | 212,000 | 117.8% | 13.1% |
| Port Jefferson NY11777 | 432,500 | 117.7% | 12.9% |
| Sea Girt NJ08750 | 440,000 | 117.5% | 13.4% |
| Philadelphia-Wilmington-Atlantic City | 159,000 | 54.0% | 7.2% |
| Brigantine NJ08203 | 325,000 | 140.1% | NA |
| Villas NJ08251 | 139,000 | 124.5% | NA |
| Sea Isle City NJ08243 | 550,000 | 116.7% | NA |
| Ocean City NJ08226 | 415,000 | 116.1% | 17.5% |
| Ventnor City NJ08406 | 230,000 | 113.9% | NA |
| Ocean View NJ08230 | 235,000 | 110.6% | 11.1% |
| Margate City NJ08402 | 347,000 | 102.5% | 15.9% |
| Northfield NJ08225 | 180,000 | 98.5% | 15.8% |
| Marmora NJ08223 | 250,000 | 93.6% | 11.2% |
| Somers Point NJ08244 | 192,500 | 91.1% | 15.7% |
| San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose | 480,000 | 77.0% | 7.9% |
| Oakland CA94621 | 269,000 | 159.8% | 10.6% |
| Vallejo CA94590 | 285,000 | 146.8% | 9.7% |
| Oakland CA94603 | 290,000 | 144.9% | 9.1% |
| Oakland CA94601 | 335,000 | 144.8% | 10.1% |
| San Pablo CA94806 | 336,000 | 134.1% | 7.9% |
| Richmond CA94801 | 293,000 | 130.1% | 7.5% |
| Richmond CA94805 | 368,000 | 127.2% | 7.8% |
| Oakland CA94609 | 472,000 | 126.3% | 8.1% |
| Vallejo CA94589 | 306,500 | 125.1% | 11.1% |
| Suisun City CA94585 | 312,000 | 122.3% | 12.7% |
| Seattle-Tacoma-Bremerton | 259,000 | 37.4% | 7.5% |
| Seattle WA98116 | 359,000 | 61.4% | 6.3% |
| Seattle WA98126 | 275,000 | 58.1% | 7.1% |
| Seattle WA98107 | 320,000 | 57.0% | 5.7% |
| Seattle WA98109 | 453,000 | 56.0% | 5.9% |
| Seattle WA98106 | 215,000 | 55.4% | 9.3% |
| Seattle WA98103 | 349,000 | 54.5% | 6.5% |
| Seattle WA98119 | 425,000 | 53.2% | 5.9% |
| Seattle WA98105 | 400,000 | 52.2% | 5.0% |
| Seattle WA98117 | 325,500 | 51.7% | 5.6% |
| Seattle WA98199 | 414,000 | 51.7% | 5.3% |
| Washington-Baltimore | 289,000 | 73.2% | 10.5% |
| Takoma Park MD20912 | 320,000 | 97.0% | 7.7% |
| Silver Spring MD20910 | 377,000 | 96.6% | 6.0% |
| Silver Spring MD20903 | 315,000 | 94.1% | 9.0% |
| Silver Spring MD20901 | 307,000 | 92.6% | 8.8% |
| Chevy Chase MD20815 | 705,000 | 91.1% | 4.4% |
| Silver Spring MD20902 | 279,000 | 90.5% | 8.7% |
| Kensington MD20895 | 372,000 | 89.0% | 6.1% |
| Gaithersburg MD20877 | 290,000 | 88.6% | 9.2% |
| Silver Spring MD20904 | 325,000 | 88.0% | 8.9% |
| Germantown MD20874 | 237,000 | 87.1% | 13.6% |
| Notes:1Q4 1998 through Q4 2003 2Q1 2004 through Q1 2005 | |||
| Source: Fiserv CSW | |||
(//www.dajiyuan.com)
